Economic Profiler -the US stock market analysis-CH version: 2010.07

7/20/2010

0720-八月高點預測-1140

最近的走勢不像是要直接破底,且依照T-THEORY的原理,反彈波應該延續到八月中下,加上Fibinacci的粗估, 八月應仍可走到1120以上至1140,但這也不是甚麼好消息,因為之後就是真正的破底走勢了.

TZA先獲利了結

7/16/2010

The Short Term: Late April – August: Play the short term pullback of late April-May and recovery peaking in August according to your expertise and time frame. However, Nenner suggests that those with less expertise or time to monitor portfolios might be better off just taking profits and sitting with cash.

The Longer Term From August: Once stocks start hit their August peak, take profits in stocks, then either stay in cash OR take positions that benefit from a LONG 6-12 month overall downtrend, that can withstand any short term rallies without hitting any tight stop losses. Shorter term traders are free to play those counter rallies as they wish. His subscribers get morning updates 3 times per week, a weekly summary, and additional updates as needed to allow short multiday time frame trading.

0716-回顧一下NENNER'S PREDICTION

7/15/2010

0715-亞股是否為領先指標?

由圖中的恆生指數可以看出,其實七月初的低點並未破六月初的低點,這一點與美股完全不同調,綜觀韓股,台股也是如此,這是否意味著亞股領先打出底部結束修正?若要回憶過去這種類似跡象,似乎也出現於2009 的三月底部,當時美股續創新低,S&P 創下666低點,但亞股都沒有再創新低過,反而是一個HIGHER LOW, 就這兩年來的觀察,亞洲股市越來越有領先美股的跡象, 雖美股指數全數都還壓在季線以下,但亞股大部份指數卻都已經早早攻克季線,可怕的韓國指數KOSPI還再度創下今年新高,若亞股為領先指標,美股攻克季線指日可待.

0715-SPY HOLDS

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