1029-like I said~破低點就空囉

假設價格有延續性,抓轉折容易受傷,還是賣空吧!

0129-The assumption of a trading strategy

每個人都有一個交易策略,就短線而言也沒有絕對的好與壞, 但你有交易策略嗎? 若有,在你交易策略背後的假設是什麼呢? 在我個人的交易策略裡有一個嚴守的標準叫做"止損", 買進股票裡必須要在價格上有所突破, 這些原則背後的假設是什麼呢? 就是動量的延續性, 如果物理F=MA可以轉換成股價的話我想應該是, P=VA, P=價格 , V=成交量, A=加速度, 當然加速度為負值自然就變成跌勢了, 當然股價在不同時段裡所呈現的走勢會截然不同, 但仔細觀察可以發現, 延續性走勢必然多於轉折走勢, 因此依此操作的話, 雖然在轉折時會有吃虧但大部分時段還是"順勢"為贏家.

A=加速度, 其實在K線裡呈現的就是陽線與陰線, 長陽線自然A值為正向加速度, 如能配上適當的V值往往就能帶起一波漲勢, 不過雖然我說順勢操作但我偶而也會抓轉折, 老實說抓轉折有80%以上的時間都是會虧損的,也就是我最常使用STOP ORDER的時候, 因此還是奉勸投資人,以順勢操作為原則吧.

0129-MED

http://seekingalpha.com/article/185038-the-unusual-timing-of-medifast-auditor-s-resignation-announcement

一個被判刑有罪的CPA對MED做的評論, 有趣!

0129-this is not good!

這對於進場搶反彈的我而言似乎是不太妙了!!

看來支撐是快要不守了, 再看一天來決定是否再轉戰空方部位.

0127-APPLE 果然扭轉乾坤

看來我也要趁熱買一台了

http://www.apple.com/ipad/

時間正好是2PM , JOBS公佈價格$499起時, 影響力真大!

0126-一個輕描淡寫的反彈=無力!

恐怕暫時沒機會反彈到季線來空了, AAPL是否能以新產品發表會來為市場打底呢?  先買點來看看吧!

200購入, 但做好止損準備!

0125-OVERSOLD BOUNCING

0125-反彈在即 稍安勿躁

季線跌破照規定要反彈回測, 所以空補後,季線上再空, 但不能忽略我們也曾在去年11月初跌破季線,結果是反彈續漲,這次是否一樣救回季線呢? 無須賭, 獲利入袋後再伺機行動, 讓市場自己證明季線是否可以收回??

0123-紀律再次證明它的價值

市場再度重挫你的投資結果呢?? 周四一個停損多頭部位,建立空頭部位的決策立即在周五展現,you never hold a stock by hope! 紀律說賣就是要賣,跌破支撐做空經驗告訴我無須想太多, 周五立即就有所回應了, 台灣有句話說,不要接天上跌下來的刀子也是一樣的道理, 當然對很多長線投資人而言,即便有幾日的重挫也無傷2008 3~5月建立的低成本,但本人的操作周期以周為單位, 容忍度是不高的,但效果似乎都還不錯.

我的twitter目前空頭部位是在周四建立的有, FCX@77.7,. AKS@22, JST@41.5, 基本上不用跟著我做, 隨便空也會賺錢的, 總之要記得" 紀律 " 要擺第一!

0121-Obama是認真的, GS你有沒有在聽??

"My resolve to reform the system is only strengthened when I see a return to old practices at some of the very firms fighting reform; and when I see record profits at some of the very firms claiming that they cannot lend more to small business, cannot keep credit card rates low, and cannot refund taxpayers for the bailout," President Obama said Thursday. "It is exactly this kind of irresponsibility that makes clear reform is necessary."
"Never again will the American taxpayer be held hostage by a bank that is too big to fail," Mr. Obama said Thursday.

 今日重點!!
Under the proposed rule, commercial banks would be prohibited from owning, investing in or advising hedge funds or private equity firms. Bank regulators would not be simply given the discretion to enforce such rules. They would be required to do so.

0121-the power of Euro!

美元反彈,歐元崩盤,中國緊縮銀根=嚇死全世界投資機構

建議:建立部份空頭部位,多單出場

0120-小心停滯不前的SSE

這樣的高度若不前行,跌倒是很可怕的!

不創新高獲利了結的賣壓就會持續增加,市場需要刺激的好消息激勵不然就會玩的很血腥, 總之財報周IBM若沒有好消息,市場不會留情面的.

0119-Today's pick!

FRX
(FRX) expects 2010 earnings, excluding items, to be at the high end of its previous range of $3.40 to $3.50 a share.
The projection comes after the company reported third-quarter earnings that significantly beat Wall Street expectations. Analysts currently expect earnings for the year ended March 31 to be $3.46 a share, according to Thomson Reuters.
The fourth quarter is likely to include heavy spending related to fibromyalgia drug Savella, blood-pressure treatment Bystolic, and Daxas, which is in development for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, said Chief Financial Officer Frank Perier in a conference call.

2010-左看右看,上看下看=還是多頭

只要可以創新高則多頭不止,不要浪費時間猜頭部, 頭部出來後再空都不遲,許多股票剛結束長達一個月的整理型態並出現向上突破增量的現象,價增量漲, 沒有爆大量也沒有出現高檔量縮現象,都還是健康的盤勢, 證明現在還是一台北上的列車, 請勿做出臥軌行為!!


2010 1月首選股票

1.GS

2.S



3.GE

0106-10-STILL ON VACATION!